Archive for the ‘News’ Category

Latest Presidential Election Poll Odds (10.27) Obama +3.2

Monday, October 27th, 2008

10/27

Barack Obama + 3.2

Previous Poll Odds:

10/24

Barack Obama + 5.6

10/23

Barack Obama + 6.5

10/11

Barack Obama + 6.7

My election poll algorithms show the Presidential race is still up for grabs. John McCain has picked up a couple points since last week and has closed to within 3.2 points with just over a week to go.

Some recently discovered tapes of Barack Obama’s may have begun to do some damage as they show a frightening socialist world view, as well as more contradictions. To a smaller degree, the birth certificate controversy may have swung a few voters away from Obama. Despite this sounding like a conspiracy theory, Americans should not have to wonder if a candidate is an American citizen this late in the game. It leaves some citizens feeling disrespected.

This year’s election has the potential to make the polls even more inaccurate than ever. The media/ politically correct pressure to pick someone based solely on race has the potential to add several points into the McCain column, since a percentage of people may simply be saying what they think the pollsters want them to say. Voter turnout could shift it several points in either direction. Could the ACORN voter fraud mess still add substantial votes to Barack Obama?

To top it all off, this figures to be the wildest week of the whole election, with news breaking at a remarkable speed. Say a prayer for our Country.

Mugging Hoax - Was Girl Really an Obama Supporter?

Saturday, October 25th, 2008

hoax-obama-supporter

Was the girl who carved a B on her own face and claimed she was attacked by a black Barack Obama supporter really am Obama supporter herself?

She was 20 years old. That fits the profile. She was a college student. Still staying within the profile. She was a young female. That’s 3 for 3.

Perhaps the biggest clue was the fact that it was so poorly conceived. It was almost like she wanted to get caught. Could she have been that dumb as to include an ATM machine in her story and not have any kind of time line even figured out? Add in a backwards B and you have a pretty shaky story for someone of a college education.

The hoax perpetrator might be someone with mental issues or she might be a Barack Obama supporter in disguise. One thing for sure, she does not fit the profile of the typical John Mccain supporter. I suspect the biggest hoax is where her support really lies.

Latest Presidential Election Poll Odds (10.24) Obama +5.6

Friday, October 24th, 2008

10/24

Barack Obama + 5.6

Previous Poll Odds:

10/23

Barack Obama + 6.5

10/11

Barack Obama + 6.7

After 3 days of saying he was rushing to his sick Grandmother’s side, Barack Obama is really off to Hawaii. Oddly, his wife and kids did not accompany him. The rumor mill is running overtime regarding this trip, including suspicions regarding his inability to produce his birth certificate.

As for John McCain, he is still not capitalizing on all of Barack Obama’s dirty laundry. Perhaps he can get a little more mileage out of Joe the Plumber with the news that government computers were used to find dirt on him. Still I think more of Obama’s Ayers, Rezko and ACORN connections may be needed to turn it all the way around…

Presidential Poll Odds (10/23): Obama +6.5

Thursday, October 23rd, 2008

10/23

Barack Obama + 6.5

————

Previous Poll Odds:

10/11

Barack Obama + 6.7

With the flurry of conflicting Presidential election poll data out there I decided to cut through it to come up with as accurate a number as possible. I use 6 polls that I consider to be the most accurate. I also use a 7th number that is an algorithm I put together to account for internet buzz.

I came up with this system simply to guage what is going on in the Presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. It is mechanical and takes my own opinions out. I am not trying to influence opinion. I’ll leave that for the New York Times and the like. I am one person up against the media establishment, so I have no interest in trying to influence opinion with this - only measure it. For that reason I will stick with the algorithms in place. I will not do like the mainstream media and only report the poll(s) that come out in the way they like.

None of the polls out there are extremely reliable or you wouldn’t have 10+ point swings on the same day and they wouldn’t have to do so many if they were accurate. The difference from one poll to the next shows that the “scientific margin of error” is also flawed. We already know from history about that. But the polls can at least give a barometer of what’s going on. It can often show a direction of who has momentum. I believe that if the poll averages are within 4-5 points going into election day that either candidate could win.

Some of these large polls sample, in some cases, as much as twice as many democrats as republicans and don’t use likely voters as a standard. So you can see why these numbers just aren’t accurate. I believe that is intentional, but be that as it may. In my algorithm I adjust for poll size and likely voter status. I will update these numbers going forward every 1-2 days.

Colin Powell and Oprah Winfrey Political Hypocrisy Stoke the Flames of Racism

Sunday, October 19th, 2008

It’s funny how people like Colin Powell and Oprah will shun their own gender or their own party and vote for someone on the basis of race. In Powell’s case he not only shuns his own party, but endorses the most liberal senator we have. In Oprah’s case she shuns her own gender and instead votes race.

If a white person voted for someone because they thought a white person would be better they would most likely be considered a racist. You aren’t going to tell me that it’s not the same when Oprah and Colin Powell do the same thing. I always knew that Oprah and Powell were liberals, that is no great surprise to me. I was a little surprised that they would vote based on race, especially when it is a big break from either their supposed views or in Oprah’s case, the women who made her what she is today.

Oprah liked Hillary Clinton and obviously there isn’t very much difference in Hillary Clinton’s policies and Barack obama’s. There has never been a woman president - there have been plenty of men. Yet Oprah stepped onto the political stage because she felt that it was critical we have Obama over Hillary. Strange indeed. Also strange that Hillary said she would not invite Sarah Palin on her show before the election. Between those things and the sexist comments and hatred that have been directed towards Sarah Palin in general in this election, it is obvious we have a long way to go when it comes to women being given equal footing to men.

Colin Powell was always someone who tried to hide his political positions while riding the coattails of the republican party. So here he decides to choose a liberal who has already been involved in more scandals than any President in history, and he’s not even been elected yet. Obama’s shady Ayers, ACORN, Jeremiah Wright, and Antoin Tony Rezko associations do not trouble him and he feels that McCain shouldn’t make it an issue.

The former Secretary of State said it is ok, even if Obama is a Muslim and cites the contributions of millions of Muslim citizens to American society. Obviously, the fact that Obama would lie about it should be an issue for any American. The fact that he attended a so called Christian church that was filled with racist anti-American hate should be just as big a concern.

Powell’s comments are full of hypocrisy. He says he doesn’t want the same old things, like conservative Supreme Court Picks, yet says McCain is bringing the party in the wrong direction. He is saying it is the same direction and then says it is bringing the party into a different direction. He apparently is not looking out for the little guy considering some of the awful decisions handed down by the liberals on the Supreme Court.

Powell says Sarah Palin doesn’t have enough experience to be Vice President, but Obama, with less experience, somehow has enough to be President. He praises Obama as a new generation, but doesn’t give the same praise to Sarah Palin, who supposedly more represents his own views. Last year he gave the maximum $2,300 campaign contribution to John McCain. This is scary stuff that people can be so deceptive for so long about their views. Oprah and Powell have fooled a lot of people through the years.

And so it goes - Oprah Winfrey and Colin Powell show their true colors. It’s as simple as black and white to me. In a fair country people of all races are treated equally. Since a white person wouldn’t get a pass for voting solely on the basis of their own race, I’m not giving a pass to Oprah Winfrey or Colin Powell, especially in a year with two female candidates. So the color they show is the color of their own prejudices. If there are race problems in America it is because of people like this, who stoke the flames of race, instead of treating all people equally. Hypocrisy and racism don’t sound like the kind of change and new direction we are looking for.

This Barack Obama Presidential Debate Quote Says it All

Friday, October 17th, 2008

“But when people suggest that I pal around with terrorists, then we’re not talking about issues.” — Barack Obama, during the 3rd Presidential debate

Barack Obama is deceptively right. They are talking about facts when they bring up William Ayers, not issues. Talk about issues and you can avoid the facts and your lack of judgement. Convincing others to stay on the issues and not make character an “issue” has and will be the strategy for Barack Obama.

Stick to the issues and avoid the facts and you don’t even need a good plan as long as you can identify a problem. Look how far Hillary Clinton got on the health care issue. Never mind that she had 8 years in the White House with Bill Clinton to get something done. Stick to the issue, show you care and promise the world.  Just avoid the facts.

Talk about facts and you are accused of running a negative campaign. You are accused of being hostile or grumpy. If John McCain is to pull the election off he has to stick with the facts no matter how much they call it negative campaigning. He cannot out promise Obama. Even Hillary Clinton couldn’t do that.

Rush Limbaugh Concurs With My Fox News Debate Analysis Criticism

Thursday, October 16th, 2008

Rush Limbaugh spent a good amount of time today criticizing the Fox News all-stars post-debate analysis. I wrote my criticism for Fox News and MSNBC out of irritation a little past midnight last night.  According to Rush, there were plenty of people who saw the Presidential debate summary the same way. Rush, who is friends with some of these guys, lamented as he gave a solid dose of right on evaluation.  

“The Fox All-Stars have become elites too.” — Rush Limbaugh 

I don’t know if some of these guys have become elites or liberals - or if they simply have gotten too lazy to do anything but follow the polls like puppy dogs. What good are commentators and analysts if all they can do is read poll numbers? Weather girls just starting out in broadcasting have a tougher job than that.

These guys remind me of the experts who come on at the end of the day and tell you why the stock market went up or down. It could go up or down just 20 points and they will tell you why it did, even though that kind of market movement is basically a wash. Funny they don’t accurately tell you at the beginning of most days if the market will be up or down and about how much. But at the end of the day they tell you exactly why it did what it did. “The market was down 10 points on news that Joe the Plumber doesn’t like Barack Obama’s tax plan.” They usually sound like they know what they are talking about, though obviously it is often nothing more than a guess.

The news analysts come out and tell you Barack Obama was the winner because he was smooth or because he didn’t screw up. Flawed polls tell them that John McCain needs to pull off a deer in the headlights moment on Barack Obama. Why can’t they just do their jobs? What happened to breaking down and analyzing the facts, or lack thereof? Instead it is about fluff, instead of substance.

Fox News and MSNBC Election Debate Analysis a Joke

Thursday, October 16th, 2008

We live in a world where you can’t discuss issues and facts in regards to Barack Obama or else you are considered racist. I watched a little of the pre-debate coverage on MSNBC and then a little post-debate coverage on Fox News. I wasn’t impressed with either, to say the least.

These guys at MSNBC say the only way Obama can lose the election is if people are racist. Chris Mathews and Keith Olbermann are the news version of professional wrestling. The only difference is that most wrestlers will tell you it’s entertainment. The MSNBC guys have the script written up ahead of time. Before the debate or anything political they are prepared to tell you something happened even if it doesn’t. They are as partisan as anybody in the news has ever been. They wouldn’t say McCain won a debate with Barack Obama no matter what happened.

I expected more from the folks at Fox News, but didn’t get much more analysis out of them. All you get is that Obama has to screw up to lose. I don’t know how many times I have heard that in the last month. I guess if it’s close at all Affirmative Action gives it to Barack Obama. Whatever happened to the facts? Do we vote based on who is the smoothest? As long as you don’t get flustered when you get caught in a lie then you won the exchange? God help us all if we have become that superficial. God help us if we vote for someone to cleanse the country for it’s past sins by voting for someone solely because they are black. There are so many qualified people who are minorities - why should we settle for someone who’s character is so much in question?

Barack Obama chose to associate with William Ayers and ACORN. With Antoin Tony Rezko and Jeremiah Wright. If you put together all the questionable associations of all the Presidents in our history, it wouldn’t equal the corrupt friends of Barack Obama. That has nothing to do with racism. It is about trust and character. In this case the lack of it. If it weren’t for the media’s incompetence, these facts would not be so slow coming out. Everything is about who won. Who won? Who looked better? What do the plants, who claim to be undecided, say after the debate?… What about the damn facts?

I singled out Fox News and MSNBC because I caught some of the coverage. Obviously this kind of superficial coverage is not exclusive to those networks. It is amazing how many so called analysts are so afraid to be called racist and are so afraid to be wrong. If the polls say something they have to agree. Is there any analysis in that? They almost always have to pick the favorite. Be a man/ woman and say what you think, not what you think you are supposed to say. Fair weather reporting is all this is. Bandwagon jumping and lack of courage…

I know what the fake journalists at MSNBC like to try to do. They try to influence opinion. They believe there are enough suckers out there who can be told who to vote for. People who can’t think for themselves. They quote the polls that don’t include likely voters and don’t include an equal number of republicans vs democrats. That is an effort to influence and nothing more. If John McCain and Barack Obama’s personalities were reversed they would say McCain was too passive and Obama showed strong command. Instead they say Obama is calm and McCain is hostile. Ugh.

The rest of the news analysts who don’t try to influence with polls bow to the polls. This again, at the expense of the facts. Never mind the fact that polls are very inaccurate. That’s why they take them every day and why they change almost every day. Most people don’t change their minds that often, even in the year 2008. Polls are not accurate. So why are they in the news every day? Where is the news? Sean Hannity says jouralism is dead in the year 2008. Maybe before this year it was just in a coma.

I have never been a fan of John McCain. That being said, there is such a stark difference in policies and character that I cannot bring myself to vote for Barack Obama. Guilt for the sins of people who walked the earth long before I did is not enough to vote for someone who has aligned themselves with enemies of America.